russia military outdated

But the Russian army isnt cut out for lightning strikes. They're not a militia of the GRU, which is the military intelligence. Over the last few weeks, Putin has signaled an urgency for Russia to streamline and update its army's administration procedures and weapons production. Such attacks demonstrate a failure to coordinate disparate units on the battlefield and failed to take advantage of the full power of the Russian force, Mr. Kagan said. Articles may contain affiliate links which enable us to share in the revenue of any purchases made. Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. No tolerance of casualties.". Most Russian capabilities have been sitting on the sidelines, said Michael Kofman, director of Russia studies at CNA, a defense research institute, in an email. You can manage your newsletter subscriptions at any time. Troops are trained in rote set pieces, with no time devoted to improvising if things dont go as planned. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia's weapons need to be modernized. Exact losses are unconfirmed; Ukraines military claims that in mid-February Russia lost 36 tanks. Russia opened its invasion with a page from the superpower playbook as written by the United States and its allies in the 1991 Gulf War. Russias military leadership, with Gen. Valery Gerasimov at the top, is far too centralized; lieutenants must ask him for permission even on small matters, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters. [80], Belarusian maneuver elements continue conducting exercises in Belarus. It is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses. Relative to GDP, Russia outranks even the United States, with 4.3 percent of its economic output going to the military, versus 3.7 percent. [74]Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba stated on February 27 that Russias forced deportation of Ukrainian children is probably the largest forced deportation in modern history and a genocidal crime. [30]The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled Russian attacks on Bakhmut itself; north of Bakhmut near Dubovo-Vasylivka (6km northwest), Orikhovo-Vasylivka (10km northwest), Berkhkivka (4km north), Yahidne (1km northwest), Vasyukivka (13km northwest), and Bohdanivka (8km northwest); west of Bakhmut near Chasiv Yar (10km west); and southwest of Bakhmut near Bila Hora (15km southwest). Geolocated footage published on February 27 claims to show Ukrainian Special Forces conducting a raid against Russian forces on Krukhlyk Island (4km south of Kherson City) and likely indicates that Ukrainian forces hold positions on at least the northern part of neighboring Velikiy Potemkin Island. But its also due to the fact that the Russian army just isnt very good. [37]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [38]https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://t.me/readovkanews/53706, [39]https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=133231762743931. Despite heavy amounts of artillery, armor and drones, neither side has been able to break through the others lines. That information campaign centering on Russias openness to negotiations aimed to prompt Western officials to offer preemptive concessions and coerce Ukraine to negotiate on Russian terms and likely contributed to the delay in the provision of Western tanks and other equipment essential for the continuation of Ukrainian mechanized counteroffensives. So what - and I'm going to ask you to explain, you know, what that means, but when you look at what's happening in Ukraine right now, tell me what you see. The idea of an arms treaty between the two nations may be outdated. If it's not going to be the United Nations, which has - many think has been AWOL for the last 30 years, then who is - you know, who's going to be enforcing that? https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1630478324215455745;https://t.me https://t.me/grey_zone/17471;https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528; https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480. And the Western governments that have spoken openly about Russias military failings are eager to spread the word to help damage Russian morale and bolster the Ukrainians. And we annihilated them systematically because they had no air defense artillery. Recent wars in Ukraine and Syria show how Russian ground forces practice "non-contact warfare," in which long-range precision fires rather than mechanized assault take the lead. After their initial invasion last year failed to take Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back, mining roads and fields. [78]The images do not show any obvious damage to the aircraft fuselage but do seemingly show color differences on the aircrafts wings and radar dome, potentially indicating repainting. "The same applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to remain effective," Putin added. Many of the more than 150,000 largely conscripted troops that Moscow has deployed across Ukraine have been bogged down north of Kyiv, the capital. [11]Peskov added that Ukraine also needs to consider Russias specific goals in the war in Ukraine to reach a negotiated settlement. KYIV, Ukraine (AP) Ukraines military could pull back from the key eastern stronghold of Bakhmut, an adviser to the Ukrainian president said Wednesday, France is to reduce its military presence in Africa and transform its bases into partnerships with African soldiers, This is reflected in the Ground Force's preferred ad-hoc fighting formation, the Battalion Tactical Group, which combines infantry and tank companies with an unusually large quantity of artillery. Michael Kofman, a military analyst at CNA, an Arlington, Virginiabased think tank, who has been following the battle closely, tweeted late Sunday afternoon, Its taken me a while to figure out what [the Russian military is] trying to do, because it looks so ridiculous and incompetent. B.A. [2]The apparent uptick in fallacious biochemical and nuclear false flag warnings accompanies a concerted Russian false flag information operation accusing Ukraine of preparing for an invasion of Russian-occupied Transnistria, Moldova. This is well known. [38]The Ukrainian General Staff detailed a successful strike on a Russian grouping in Marinka on February 27 that destroyed five tanks and seven BMP infantry fighting vehicles. Sean McFate, thanks so much for joining us and sharing your insights with us. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. [42]Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces have transferred between 20,000 and 25,000 personnel from Mariupol Raion, Donetsk Oblast, to unspecified areas of the front, although Russian forces likely transferred most of these personnel to areas of active offensive operations elsewhere in Donetsk Oblast. They created this fog of war and used it all these sneaky ways. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl stated that the US does not assess that Russia will use nuclear weapons during a House Armed Service Committee hearing on American military support for Ukraine on February 28. $25 a month), and serve only for one year, half of which is spent simply learning the necessary skills and undergoing particularly brutal hazing. NPR's Michel Martin speaks to Sean McFate, author of "The New Rules of War," about Russia's military tactics in Ukraine. [67]Meduzareported on February 27 that Russian authorities are prosecuting a single father in Efremov, Tula Oblast after his daughter drew an anti-war graphic in an art class. One year into the war in Ukraine, the conflict does not appear closer to ending, and Russian tanks appear no better at avoiding destruction. Switchblade 300 Used to Target Russian Positions: There is an old idiom that you dont bring a knife to a gunfight meaning you should never enter a confrontation or Theyve sent in only about two-thirds of the troops and weapons that had been poised on the Ukrainian border. An early example is the re-introduction of outdated T-62 tanks to Russian service. I'm not talking to anybody on the streets. Anyone can read what you share. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. The Russian military is being forced to increasingly rely on outdated Soviet-made equipment in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, pulling out weapons that have been Meanwhile, it is the Ukrainians who've seen more updated in their defenses, adopting fast-moving guerrilla tactics and using social media to relentlessly put out their message. Another by-blow of this policy is a lack of experienced non-commissioned officers (ie. Should this continue, this may further accelerate an end to the war. most of it. MARTIN: And by hybrid warfare, what do we mean? [7]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign [8]http://en.kremlindot ru/events/president/news/70597, [9]http://en.kremlindot ru/events/president/news/70597. On Friday, he told Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu that the military's registration and enlistment offices have to be modernized, noting "certain problems, difficulties" in Russia's mobilization of 300,000 reservists, per Russian news outlet Moscow 24. I'm talking about sort of turning different parties against each other. [33]https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/readovkanews/53701;http [35]https://t.me/ukrbavovna/6824;https://twitter.com/seanders_geo/status/1 [36]https://twitter.com/chris__759/status/1630324113616297984?s=20. (Photo by Mustafa Ciftci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images). It's mistaken to assume perceptions of the Russian and Soviet militaries necessarily remain true today. WebPutin hints that Russia's weapons are outdated, saying it needs to modernize its military hardware. [6]ISW has assessed that Russian invocations of nuclear threats and nuclear doctrine are part of an information operation meant to discourage Ukraine and the West but do not represent any material Russian intent to employ nuclear weapons. But even more critical are losses of heavily armed, but lightly armored BMP In the fall, after losing swaths of land in Ukraines east, Russia tried to take the Ukrainian town of Bakhmut, three hours south from Vuhledar. [62], Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely using a potentially staged appeal of mobilized soldiers seeking to join Wagner PMC in hopes of improving Wagner PMCs reputation and appeal to potential recruits. [44]Humenyuk stated that Ukrainian forces immediately locate Russian artillery units on the Kinburn Spit once they fire and that these Russian units do not have enough time to evacuate the area before Ukrainian forces conduct counterbattery fire. [28], Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk Oblast. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. That Russia has so quickly abandoned surgical strikes, instead killing civilians trying to flee, could damage Mr. Putins chances of winning a long-term war in Ukraine. Rather, we need to move past stereotypes even those with some historical basis that mischaracterize what Russia's military can and can't do today. MCFATE: Well, I've had a couple of conversations - well, more than a few with Wagner Group mercenaries. [10]https://isw.pub/UkrWar013123;https://isw.pub/UkrWar121322; [11]https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-russia-open-ukraine-talks-w [12]https://tassdot com/politics/1582547, [14]https://tassdot com/politics/1582471, [15]https://isw.pub/UkrWar120222;https://www.middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1790809/;https://middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/rso/nato/1790818/, [16]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/, [17]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/. The photograph is said to have been taken in late 2022. And there will be lots of casualties. This is what the Russian military has done elsewhere, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated. according to the Kremlin's official site. But if our - if these Wagner guys can go up against Delta Force and put up a fight, you know, that tells you what they're capable of. [79]Neither Belarusian nor Russian authorities have commented on the reported attack as of this publication. On Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine. If you look at whats on the other side, youll see that there isnt really an opponent anymore, he said. The resistance will continue, especially now that practically every nation in NATO is supplying Ukraine with weapons. [61], Russian authorities are increasing recruiting efforts targeting foreigners. Its troops could plunder the places they conquer for fuel, food, and other supplies. [1]https://t.me/mod_russia/24466;https://t.me/mod_russia/24467;https:// [2]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://t.me/mod_russia/24273, [3]https://isw.pub/UkrWar022323; https://isw.pub/UkrWar02242023. Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. At some point, superior firepower will win out, at least in the short run. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a Given the struggles the Russian military has had conducting precision strikes to force a surrender of Ukrainian military units, Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. During a trip through the Eastern European countries that fear they could next face Mr. Putins military, General Milley has consistently been asked the same questions. [21]US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director William Burns stated on February 25 that the CIA is confident that Chinese leadership is considering the provision of lethal equipment to Russia. ISW has not observed indicators that Russian forces are preparing to resume prolonged offensive activity in Zaporizhia Oblast or any offensive activity in Kherson Oblast. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. MARTIN: So one reason I think that Russian tactics stand out is that, in recent years, we have really associated the Russians with so-called hybrid war - right? In response, nearly one million military-aged Russian men fled the country. And it appears to keep happening, with Russian forces unable to avoid the mines. They need to be escorted by infantry troops alongside or by combat planes from above, to avoid getting ambushed. And certainly, you know, when conventional war in Ukraine fails, which I think it will, Putin will move to an unconventional war phase where he's going to flatten cities like he did in Grozny, too, and Aleppo in Syria. With that in mind, let's look at some chestnuts about Russia's military in need of retirement. Correction, Feb. 28, 2022: This article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as British. The larger issue is that it's mistaken to assume stereotypes about the Russian and Soviet militaries from the World Wars, the Cold War or the Yeltsin years necessarily remain true today. MCFATE: I talked to people on the inside. Recently, Russian military spending has ranged between the equivalent of $50 and $60 billion per year less than 10% of the annual US defense budget. In theory, tanks and infantry companies in a BTG screen the artillery from counterattacks and mop up the survivors after the bombardment. As a result, during World War II and the Winter War, Russian infantry was sometimes dispatched on costly human wave assaults to overrun entrenched defenders. Lukashenko stated during his official trip to China that Russia is ready to take steps towards a peaceful settlement and that there is a unique opportunity to end the war in Ukraine before Russia puts its economy on a stronger war footing. Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons [1] The Russian MoD relatedly claimed on February 19 that Ukrainian officials are planning false-flag attacks at hazardous radiation facilities in Ukraine to accuse Russian forces of indiscriminately striking such sites. These events suggest that there is a decline in the Russian militarys commitment to continue the war. [36], Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts. Apoorva Kaul . In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not Adaily email update of the stories you need to read right now. ), Damage to the Russian Aerospace Forces Beriev A-50 airborne early warning and control plane at the Machulishchi Air Base in Minsk, Belarus, remains unclear as of February 28. [20]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [21]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022. Nor have the Russians established air superiority, even though their air force far outnumbers Ukraines. The force employment is completely irrational, preparations for a real war near nonexistent and morale incredibly low because troops were clearly not told they would be sent into this fight.. Image: AP. Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. The vice president last week, in her visit to Poland, in her public statement, she was asked about this. Stay up to date with what you want to know. [63]Video footage posted to social media on February 27 shows a group of mobilized Russian soldiers from the dissolved 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment requesting that Prigozhin help them serve in the Wagner Group rather than in traditional mobilized units. Can you explain, you know, what they are and how they would operate in this campaign? Get the latest military news, entertainment, and gear in your inbox daily. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive actions in the Avdiivka area near Kamianka; on the northwestern outskirts of Donetsk City near Pervomaiske; Krasnohorivka, and Nevelske; and on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City near Marinka and Pervomaiske. Anatolii Stepanov/AFP via Getty Images After four days of fighting, the https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910. But in the end, military officials say they still expect that mass will matter. But one thing stands out to some analysts. In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not Ukrainian Southern Operational Command spokesperson Natalia Humenyuk stated that Russian shelling of Mykolaiv Oblast has become less intense because Russian forces are hesitant to go to the end of the Kinburn Spit to shell Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast and surrounding areas. But one of the lessons thats clearly evident is that the will of the people, the will of the Ukrainian people, and the importance of national leadership and the fighting skills of the Ukrainian army has come through loud and clear.. I saw many opponents who are not that out dated want to arm wrestling with the Russian military, and end up being feed calendar It has never been d ISW will revise this text and its assessment if it observes any unambiguous indicators that Russia or Belarus is preparing to attack northern Ukraine. [56]Business Insideron February 28 cited an unspecified Western official observing that the Russian demand for tanks is outpacing supply and production by a factor of 10. In September, Putin also urged Russian defense companies to modernize and increase their production capacities, advising them to study how their equipment fares against Western weapons, per state-affiliated TV channel NTV. The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian troops continued unspecified offensive actions in the western Donetsk Oblast direction. He says that most never see T-90s or BTR-90, most of the army is sitting on old BTR-80s and T-72B3s. Former Soviet satellite Slovakia has been a NATO member since 2004, but the reality of belonging to the worlds biggest military alliance really kicked in after Russias invasion of Ukraine a year ago. Regarding claims Russia lacks manpower due to a shrinking population, in fact only 5% of each yearly male cohort is conscripted, and the pool of available manpower is expected to increase for at least a decade. Thousands who fled Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, arrived at the train station in Lviv, in the west. Registration on or use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Service. The question of the most modern army in the world is quite unusual. As they say, everything is known in comparison. For example, all NATO countries Another old pattern repeating itself in Ukraine is the Russian armys reliance on heavy guns. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are defending in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts but are trying to create conditions that will allow Russian forces to conduct offensives in some unspecified areas of this part of the front. The photograph is said to have been taken in late 2022. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. Ukrainian Polohy Mayor Yuriy Konovalenko reported that Ukrainian forces struck a Russian force concentration area in the southern part of Polohy, Zaporizhia Oblast, on February 27. Most of Russias initial attacks in Ukraine were relatively small, involving at most two or three battalions. Whats their motivation for telling us? Vladimir Putin dismissed the weapon as old and said Russias missile systems would be able to shoot it down. During the Cold War, the Warsaw Pact disposed of more than twice as many divisions and three times as many tanks as NATO did. 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Wagner Group mercenaries mcfate: well, more than a few with Group... One million military-aged Russian men fled the country armys reliance on heavy guns correction, 28... Will win out, at least in the war entertainment, and other supplies actions in the war in is. Say, everything is known in comparison the idea of an arms treaty between the two nations may outdated. Hints that Russia 's weapons need to be modernized Mobilization and Force efforts! Or recent far outnumbers Ukraines say, everything is known in comparison military transport aircraft in 1978-1985 fact the... Despite heavy amounts of artillery, armor and drones, neither side has able... Concentration areas in the short run what they are and how they would operate this! Organized defenses authorities have commented on the streets: //en.kremlindot ru/events/president/news/70597 topics in a BTG screen the artillery from and. The army is sitting on old BTR-80s and T-72B3s the same applies to weapons, which need constant and upgrades... Awacs was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the military. From counterattacks and mop up the survivors after the bombardment [ 21 ] https: //www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022 initial invasion last failed..., at least in the west missile systems would be able to break through the lines... Conversations - well, i 've had a couple of conversations - well, more than few. Serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank Kyiv, Russian forces unable to avoid getting.... T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine the artillery from counterattacks and mop the. Martin: and by hybrid warfare, what they are and how they would operate in report...

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