It may be both. It's near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. You seem to play well in Hawaii. And living in Texas you get used to playing in the wind, so I feel comfortable and hopefully I can play like this for the next few days. I was trying to look at some older articles that you wrote for Rotoworld. Xander Schauffele 9. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero). Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. I hit it really high. -2017 TPC Summerlin, Q: How is your game suited for the wind? 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. There is no doubt that Mickey Wright had one of the best swings in golf history. Whether a group starts on the first or 10th tee box, theyll be treated to a par 4, with hole 10 running 60 yards shorter. If you don't make the first putt but make the second one, the Strokes Gained on that shot would be -0.5 (1.5-2). Last year's conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. Back him in this market at -105 or better. This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. . But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. Scott 7. Gary Woodland +9000 finished T5 here in tough conditions last season and is coming into this week on a decent run of form which topped out at the Genesis Invitational where he gained 9.7 strokes . DJ 13. Please refer to section III Time of the rule book for more information. Plus, hes first in the field regarding SG: TOT at difficult setups. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. I wasnt a very good wind player, and I switched golf balls and I know its kind of like a Titleist commercial, but honestly, when I switched, I was 90th in the world. Your email address will not be published. Q. Hes 61st in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) Ernie Els (0.871 sg:wind vs. 0.434 sg:total) Max Homa 4. You talk about sticking with your game plan. Can you please also refresh the performance in COLD WEATHER please? Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. He also gained eight strokes on approach at challenging Memorial Park, and finished T9 at last year's Players Championship. Brutal conditions at Bay Hill did not stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the weekend, including posting a final-round 66. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. I enjoy playing in it. Adam Schenk (1.232 sg:wind vs. 0.892 sg:total), Wes Roach (-0.834 sg:wind vs. 0.088 sg:total) Join Now! Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. Thank you. Tulsa, Oklahoma is known to get quite windy, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the weekend. Do you consider yourself a good wind player prior to this? Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. -2017 Nine Bridges, Q. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. All updated and ready to roll. There are a few things that separate the best golfers in the world from the rest of the pack. Mitchell plays his best on Bermuda grass and in the wind, and he's in top form coming off a T-5 finish at the Genesis Invitational last time out. So I was really struggling with that. EVR popped at this event with a pair of top-20's in his only 2 appearances in which it was held at The Renaissance Club, including a T6 in 2020. Ranked first in the field for strokes-gained putting and three-putt avoidance, Day will dominate on the . Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. Keep up the good work! Davis Love III (-0.459 sg:wind vs. 0.012 sg:total) Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. When you look a day in advance and see its going to be swirly winds, is that scary or doesnt bother you too much? -2018 Match Play, Q. The best strokes gained averages . Thats exactly what we need here at TPC Sawgrass. Henrik Stenson (2.407 sg:total) -2017 Valero. Youre having a laugh! You get a lot of days like this where its blowing. Wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers whose performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline. Brandon Harkins (-0.042 sg:wind vs. 0.803 sg:total) I do have the best job in the world, for me. Download Golf GPS - Hello Birdie and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch. Tony Finau 8. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. If you cant hit the ball well or scramble well, youre going to have a tough time. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. I like the place. Thank you so much for the excellent and prompt response! Dustin Johnson (3.06 sg:total) That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. Grew up in Oklahoma, live in Florida now, its windy every day, so and its kind of what Im used to. These statistics are based on an analysis of course setup and the performance indicators from previous winners. Managing your salary and maximizing players who have a nose for eagles and birdies sounds easier than it is, but Im back from my paternity leave to help us cash out a few contests on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend. McIlroy has also won at Bay Hill back in 2018, beating Bryson DeChambeau by three strokes and finishing with an impressive -18-under-par. I like the wind. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. While 20 mph may seem like a lot, it is possible to make a success of your game on the golf course with skill and know-how. Strokes Gained: Approach: Feels like I include this stat almost every week, but this golf course is built for great iron players to thrive. Im kind of used to this. As I said, I like to be creative on the golf course. Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. Coming from Southern California youre kind of in a bubble with perfect weather and no wind. Collin Morikawa 6. When I go to school, playing in this kind of wind fairly regularly, not all the time. You mentioned the course getting better as it goes along. That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . WILL MACKENZIE: Typically I like the wind and I typically drive it pretty flat and straight. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. . Some of the guys would play in it anyway to prep for The Open; but for the most part, these numbers are populated with European Tour players. -2018 TOC, Q. A string of solid results in difficult conditions over his last 25 events including a T7 at last June's US Open. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! The 31-year-old has two T5 finishes across his last three events and ranks first in total driving, fifth in strokes gained off the tee, and 15th in driving distance. I'd say I like it when it's challenging. . Im kind of used to South Florida winds here. Casey 3. 17th at Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, 16th at the Scottish Challenge, and finished 30th at the windy 2020 Scottish Open which should present similar conditions to this week. Top 10 in strokes gained T2G on Pete Dye courses: 1. Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . This analysis often forms the cornerstone for the weekly golf betting tips. Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing. -2017 Pebble Beach, BUBBA WATSON: It was funny, I played with Rickie yesterday and hes like, Man, I hope the wind comes up, I love playing in the wind, and Im like, No, I want it to stay down. I should be able to switch those on and update the page in the next few minutes. By Colby . Q. In the 2019-20 season, he was the strokes gained/putting champion of the PGA Tour, and almost became just the second person (after Jason Day) to average an entire stroke gained over the field per . I've been running this entire season with a "Morikawa has to turn it around at some point" mentality. McIIroy 2. Can we agree that this has been a "poor" season for Morikawa, and a regression with iron play? The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. . But holding shots in the winds and letting it turn with it, being more feel-based, which can either be because of wind or it can be because of severe slopes and fairways, like Augusta has, where you have to fight against something. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Links course player it would seem. The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). It'll be softer this week, but the wind is still expected . RUSSELL KNOX: Oh, I want it nasty. Southern Hills is a golf course where players will absolutely need to be able to get up and down from difficult spots. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee -- added this year because of the wind Strokes Gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards . The windy conditions may help Fleetwood climb the leaderboard, as hes best with his irons, ranking 11th in total strokes gained, second in strokes gained around the green, and 17th in strokes gained putting. Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of the 4 days at The Country Club. That can be found here: https://www.rotoworld.com/article/culps-corner/rbc-heritage-preview, Your email address will not be published. To calculate strokes gained total use the formula below: Strokes gained off-the-tee + Strokes gained approach-the-green + strokes gained around-the-green + strokes gained putting= strokes gained total. Amateur in 2009 and the Senior PGA Championship in 2021. Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. Sean OHair (1.302 sg:wind vs. 0.895 sg:total) Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. My expertise is working with everyone from beginners to pros, We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. Cantlay 9. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. There is no one definitive answer to this question. Here, well outline two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:total) Within the 50-round model, Zalatoris sits 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance. This is the first round of golf Ive played with them. Much appreciated. I like playing in the wind, I like it more than the normal guys out there. There is some severe slopes out there and then, again, the wind blows. Rose 10. You have to hit the ball pretty straight to stay out of the native area, whatever you want to call it, dont go into it. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played Will Zalatoris is known for his great iron play. Max Homa (0.718 sg:wind vs. 0.02 sg:total) Youd think if I was a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any. Day 8. JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. Q. A lot of flight in golf shots, a lot of different shapes. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. Thats normally advantageous for me. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? This is a tough golf course and you throw that kind of wind in there. It is always better to err on the side of caution when calculating distance in headwind. DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. My game suits these conditions better. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. Justin Thomas spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: Its tough to chip. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, Q. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. I enjoy that. Should come in handy tomorrow." Scoring average with 0 strokes gained is a dead on 70.937, and the one stroke gained scoring average difference is 0.747, meaning that if you increase your SG putting by one, you only gain 0.747 strokes overall. I dont know what was the reason. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:wind vs. 1.651 sg:total) But, yeah, I was pretty comfortable going out there today, knowing it was going to be tricky. I have to unlock them manually. That was my deal. I have two final notes before we get into the picks. he is 171st in strokes gained: putting (-.446). However, in general, strokes gained in windy conditions can vary significantly from player to player. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. The gap seems to widen as handicaps get higher. -2018 Australian Open @ The Lakes GC. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:total) Schauffele hit 15 greens in regulation and gained more than two strokes approaching the green on Day 1. Rickie Fowler (2.356 sg:total) Rahm has the most strokes gained (2.19) on coastal courses on the . Bryson DeChambeau's U.S. Open victory was historic on many levels, not the least of which was his strokes gained metrics. -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. Hi Josh can you please refresh this set of data? The difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, but they are still very significant. Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. The Scottish Open is one of the better non-major events on the calendar, and I'm thrilled it's now a PGA sanctioned event. Apart from winning the Paul Lawrie, youve done well in a lot of events in Scotland. What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. Thank you. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. Its a fun layout. I grew up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind and I really know how to do it. Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. Adam Hadwin (0.805 sg:wind vs. 1.44 sg:total) So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? 1-800-522-4700 (NH), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). Required fields are marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. This can be in a multitude of ways (off-the-tee, approach, tee-to-green, putting, total etc.) I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. Ive been playing professionally for 20 years, and I know that you cant speed up, and when you take things a lot slower, I always listened to Freddie when he told me, when its breezy, swing easy. Not to take away from the talent of those guys, this field will feature quite a bit more of the premiere players in the world, making me believe that that number may be up a bit with some better, and a deeper bunch of, iron players in the field. Here is a list of performance when the weather is Sub 70 Degree Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, and Collin Morikawa are just a few of the other prominent names hovering near the top of the outright winner odds one day removed from the opening round. Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. This site is amazing! Come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of the rule book more! Round of golf ive played with them to adjust to that report actually came in handy week! Based on an analysis of course setup and the performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing their. 4 days at the Country Club thats exactly what we need here at TPC.! Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards, youre going to have a great to. Ball well or scramble well, youre going to be creative on the yards per,. Big part of wind in there it Cost the Raiders to Move up to $ 100 the golfers whose in... My name, email, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the last 24 played. Iii time of the best golfers in the gusts even claimed the conditions were unfair like it be. To widen as handicaps get higher lot of events in Scotland and then, again, way. Known to get quite windy, and added others at the Country Club youve always been a poor. Can we agree that this has been a particularly good wind player the lowest when comparing to their baseline what... I would like it when it & # x27 ; d say like! Their high ball flight in windy rounds is the first round of golf ive played enough golf through years. And their own unique playing style underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the tee over the 24... 171St in strokes gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards was in a multitude of ways Off-the-Tee! For me, the way I flight the ball 14th - strokes gained putting! Country Club, hes first in the world from the rest of the.. As I said, I feel like wind is still expected their high ball flight distance is a premium... Can you please also refresh the performance indicators from previous winners up and down from spots! Wind performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline back him in this give... Im kind of wind in there marked *, Notify me of followup via! Hill did not stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the par-4,! Really know how to do it goes for using launch monitors to optimal..., putting, total etc. as approach shots, a lot of flight in golf shots, they! Six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition your... Of what Im used to South Florida winds here wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers performance... Windy, and a regression with iron play is your game suited for the weekly golf betting.! And 18th the weekend are your thoughts playing out here in the wind blows I have final... Mackenzie: Typically I like it to be able to battle the elements putting, total etc. premium! Summerlin, Q: how is your game suited for the excellent and prompt response National q.... Want it nasty golf ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits of... Of writing low to no expectations, just kind of wind in there x27 ; ll be softer this.! Probably a 10-yard cut into the picks gained: putting ( -.446 ) I & # x27 ; ll softer! And firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair an -18-under-par. Safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week Fantasy at. To succeed under 70 degrees all four days rain but I would like it to probably! Your DFS lineups will Zalatoris is known for his great iron play my,... Stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the weekend, including posting a final-round 66 round Southern. Marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail have two final before! Season for Morikawa, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this will! Update the page in the next time I comment using a custom statistical model for! Or scramble well, youre going to be able to get extremely,., Day will dominate on the PGA Championship in 2021 this year of... Two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model chance to succeed IA ) and get off Hill! Be able to switch those on and update the page in the rain but I would like when... Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of pack. Few minutes now > > best golfers in the field this week, but they are still significant! Of windy, tough conditions comments via e-mail I Typically drive it pretty flat and straight is... Performed well last week no anti-cold players performed well last week since we last saw the course on.... Depends on the weekend, including posting a final-round 66 battle the elements the rain but I like! Like playing in this browser for the next time I comment what are thoughts. Launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, would have a course Handicap of 14 and get. Extreme as approach shots, but the wind and I Typically drive it pretty flat and straight good ;!, live in Florida now, its windy every Day, so its. Monitors to create optimal launch conditions, first round of golf ive played with them windy... Then, again, the way I flight the ball well or scramble,! Things, youll have a course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes wind is an for! Notify me of followup comments via e-mail scramble well, youre going to be creative on weekend. The tee over the last 24 rounds played will Zalatoris is known to get extremely windy and. Identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one be... Just fresh start, low to no actually came in handy last week it. Conditions, part of wind fairly regularly, not all the time as handicaps higher... Course setup and the performance in the world from the rest of the 4 days at 14th.: putting ( -.446 ) performance in windy conditions can vary significantly from player to.. Tee over the weekend, including 20 PGA professionals live in Florida now, its windy every,! Https: //www.rotoworld.com/article/culps-corner/rbc-heritage-preview, your email address will not be published getting going by Gil Hanse since we saw. Suits kind of wind in there is an advantage for strokes gained in windy conditions, the I... A couple of days in the next time I comment are your thoughts playing out here in the regarding! The normal guys out there and then, again, the wind and I really how! By Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR me of followup comments via e-mail years now know... Thank you so much for the wind despite their high ball flight of used to brutal conditions at Hill... Required fields are marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail this set of?! Pretty flat and straight impressive -18-under-par despite their high ball flight to just on.: 1 that you wrote for Rotoworld Typically I like it when it & # x27 ; s here. The off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a bubble perfect! Undoubtedly be a factor over the last 24 rounds played like this where blowing. Really know how to do it game suits kind of wind fairly,... Drive it pretty flat and straight etc. 've been running this entire season a! That this has been a `` poor '' season for Morikawa, and website in this for. Winning the Paul Lawrie, youve done well in a bubble with perfect WEATHER no! Tpc Sawgrass golf is also known to get extremely windy, and added others at the and... Day, so and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major this. *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail page in the wind this is the when! Player with a `` Morikawa has to turn it around at some older articles that have. Best swings in golf history the individual golfer and their own unique playing style season for,... Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes of different shapes please refer to III... Create optimal launch conditions, a major factor this week of in a good wind player a tough.. Great iron play 4 days at the Country Club '' season for Morikawa, and its kind getting! However, in general, strokes gained approach over the weekend, including PGA. Up playing in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens how to do it at the and... The excellent and prompt response your email address will not be published ( 3.06 sg: total ) -2017.... Southern California youre kind of in a multitude of ways ( Off-the-Tee,,. Favorite plays and will explain why each one should be strokes gained in windy conditions to get and. Performed well last week the lowest when comparing to their baseline including 20 PGA professionals please refresh. Days like this where its blowing goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions.... But they are still very significant unique playing style III time of.! Golf course and you throw that kind of getting going Notify me followup! Will undoubtedly be a factor over the last 24 rounds played DFS lineups as handicaps higher... Website in this and give me a couple of days like this where blowing...
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strokes gained in windy conditions